Fruit processing

Fruit processing

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Fruit processing

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
> 25% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
< USD 50 million
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 500,000 - USD 1 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Zero Hunger (SDG 2) Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Life on Land (SDG 15)

Business Model Description

Process fruits, such as mangos, pineapples, bananas and coconuts and pursue value adding activities such as drying, packing, puree making, marketing and juice making.

Expected Impact

Increase income of smallholder farmers through increased national value added, and decrease post-harvest losses.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Kenya: Coast
  • Kenya: Eastern
  • Kenya: Nyanza
  • Kenya: Western
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Food and Beverage

Development need
According to the Sustainable Development Report, SDG 2 - Zero Hunger is a major challenge in Kenya and the overall score for this goal is stagnating. The COVID-19 crisis contributes to price fluctuations, food insecurity and supply chains disruptions. Food inflation in Kenya reached 10.6% in March 2020, compared with 2.8% in the same month in the previous year.(1)

Policy priority
Policy documents and initiatives such as the Third Medium Term Plan, the Kenyan Vision 2030 and the Agricultural Sector Growth and Transformation Strategy highlight the potential of agriculture for national development. Achieving food security is among Kenya's top four policy priorities according to its 'Big Four Agenda'.

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Women constitute almost 80% of agricultural workers in Kenya. Yet, they often do not have any ownership of farming lands or production equipment. They also suffer from an unequal access to relevant agricultural loans.(33)

Investment opportunities introduction
Accounting for 34% of Kenyan gross domestic product (GDP)(2), agriculture is the main employer of the Kenyan population. Total sales in agriculture reached USD 26.5 billion in 2019 and are expected to grow at an average rate of 1.52% in 2020-2025.(3)

Key bottlenecks
Some critical bottlenecks include poor education and management skills among farmers, business atomization, supply chain deficiencies, limited access to capital and inputs, lack of storage and poor handling practices, low access to information and ICT (information and communications technology) services, as well as the aging farming population.

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

Development need
Kenyan households that are engaged in the agriculture sector contribute 31.4% to the reduction of rural poverty. Agriculture is the largest income source for both poor and non-poor households in rural areas.(4) However, major challenges remain for Kenya's SDG 2 performance, particularly in undernourishment, stunting, cereal yield and nitrogen management.(5)

Investment opportunities introduction
The government aims to provide access to land, security, power and water supply to attract private sector investors in agriculture.(6) Several priority programs were established to revitalize agriculture in Kenya such as the Agricultural Development Program along the LAPSSET (Lamu Port, South Sudan, Ethiopia) corridor, Agri-Business Development Program, and the Revitalising of the Coconut Industry Program.(7)

Industry

Processed Foods

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Fruit processing

Business Model

Process fruits, such as mangos, pineapples, bananas and coconuts and pursue value adding activities such as drying, packing, puree making, marketing and juice making.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

< USD 50 million

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

10% - 15%

In 2019, Kenya's processed fruits and vegetables industry recorded 12% retail current value growth, reaching USD 22 million (KES 2.4 billion). In the same period, volume grew to10,100 tons.(10)

According to the International Trade Center in Kenya, the fruit sector grew by 12% per year between 2005 and 2015, driven by increasing demand for healthy drinks and fresh fruits. However, around 40% of fruit crops end as food losses, and only 8% of fruit is being processed.(33) This demonstrates an important potential for further sector development.

Fruits with high processing potential are mangoes and pineapples. Kenyan mango production fluctuates around 800,000 metric tons (MT) (775,000 MT in 2018) and pineapples reached 350,000 MT in 2018.(11)

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

> 25%

A case study on Kenyan investments tackling post-harvest loss reduction estimate an internal rate of return (IRR) of 28% in 10 years.(12)

The Best Tropical Fruits is expecting investment in fruit processing will generate an IRR around126% (13) In a neighboring country, Mujaasi Investments (which is aggregating, processing and marketing various foods, including fruits) has a projected IRR of 233% over 5 years.(13)

A small-scale mango chip processor in Ghana achieved an IRR of 77%.(14) Another case study from Ethiopia characterizes investments in post-harvest technologies as having a high return - ex-ante analysis of investments to reduce post-harvest maize losses estimated an IRR of 250%.(12)

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Investments in food processing have an expected repayment period of 5 to 10 years.(13) (12)

Goshen Farm Exporters offers a 6-year investment opportunity in scaling their fruit processing.(13)

Different active stakeholders in the sector estimated the timeframe to be 7 years.(15)

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 500,000 - USD 1 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Lack of equipment and costs of technology transfer. Goods are generally subject to high import duties. However, preferential community tariffs and exemptions apply in specific cases.(16)

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Mistrust by farming communities, reflecting little exposure to modern technology due to short supply, poor distribution networks, a lack of knowledge and skills, low affordability and a lack of regulatory incentives (16)

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Poor rural road infrastructure limiting supply chains (17)

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

Although the agriculture sector contributes around 34% to national gross domestic product (GDP) and employs over half of the population,(2) the agro-processing industry constitutes only 3.2% of additional GDP growth and generates just 2.4% employment in the sector. This is well below the potential value added. (17)

Only 16% of agricultural export was processed, compared with 57% of imports that are processed.(11)

Fruits and vegetables experience the highest post-harvest losses - up to 50%, although average losses range between 20% and 35% (25% - 44% for mangos). One of the reasons for this is the lack of agro-processing.(18)

Gender & Marginalisation

Women constitute almost 80% of agricultural workers in Kenya. Yet, they often do not have any ownership of farming lands or production equipment. They also suffer from an unequal access to relevant agricultural loans.(33)

Expected Development Outcome

Increased export value and agricultural value added, increased incomes for farmers

Reduced post-harvest loss and food waste

Extended shelf life of food products and improved nutrition conditions

Gender & Marginalisation

Increased employment opportunities especially for youth and females due to the development of the agricultural sector

Primary SDGs addressed

Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
2 - Zero Hunger

2.3.2 Average income of small-scale food producers, by sex and indigenous status

2.c.1 Indicator of food price anomalies

Current Value

N/A

Domestic food price anomaly index score: 6.00 (34)

Target Value

N/A

N/A

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth

8.2.1 Annual growth rate of real GDP per employed person

8.5.1 Average hourly earnings of employees, by sex, age, occupation and persons with disabilities

Current Value

2.4% in 2018 (34)

N/A

Target Value

N/A

N/A

Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

12.3.1 (a) Food loss index and (b) food waste index

Current Value

N/A

Target Value

N/A

Secondary SDGs addressed

1 - No Poverty
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
15 - Life on Land

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Farmers producing fruits, fruit processors, local consumers, fruit growers, exporters

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Women as critical workforce in the sector

Planet

Environment reflecting less negative impact from unsustainable agricultural practices

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Society as a whole due to higher availability of locally produced processed food

Corporates

Other food industries, restaurants

Outcome Risks

Loss of land due to removing vegetal cover during site preparation and construction (soil sealing). Displacement of agricultural production and negative effect on sedentary farmers.(19)

Loss of nutrients (e.g. vitamin C and phenolics in fruits are susceptible to loss during processing, especially by leaching from plant tissues into processing water) (20)

Water and/or noise pollution (19)

Gender inequality and/or marginalization risk: Any negative environmental outcome will predominantly impact the main source of income for women and rural households; that is, farming lands.

Impact Risks

Gender inequality and/or marginalization risk: Stakeholder participation risk - Because women account for the majority of the farming workforce, their expectations need to be considered.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Investing in fruits processing is likely to have a positive outcome because it increases value added, farmers' income and exports, and reduces post-harvest loss.

Risk

Although the model is market proven, uninterrupted functioning requires a well-established supply chain and contacts with farmers to pay back high capital expenditure associated with processing facilities.

Impact Thesis

Increase income of smallholder farmers through increased national value added, and decrease post-harvest losses.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

Third Medium Term Plan of 2018-2022: Under this plan, the government aims to increase manufacturing from 9.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2017 to 15% by 2022, and increase agro-processing to at least 50% of total agricultural production.(21)

Manufacturing Priority Agenda: This document presents the Kenya Association of Manufacturer's position on how to develop manufacturing in line with government objectives. The joint goal is to increase competitiveness and remove existing challenges in manufacturing.(22)

Agriculture Sector Transformation and Growth Strategy: The first goal this strategy is to increase farmers' income. The second is to raise agricultural value added by USD 1.2 billion over 5 years.(23)

Financial Environment

Fiscal incentives: Depending on the project, Export Processing Zones (EPZs) offer incentives such as: a 10-year corporate income tax holiday and a 25% tax rate for 10 more years; perpetual exemption from value added tax (VAT) and customs duty for inputs; exemption from stamp duty fees; and 100% investment deductions in EPZ building and machinery investments for 20 years.(24)

Other incentives: A 2.5% capital deduction is offered for industrial buildings for the first 40 years of operation.(24) There is a 100% investment deduction for capital expenditures on manufacturing buildings/machinery; this increases to 150% for investment over USD 2 million outside Nairobi.(24) (25) Wear and tear deductions of 37.5% are also available for heavy machinery, tractors etc.

Regulatory Environment

Food Crops Industry Bill 2020: This Bill regulates the development and promotion of the food crops industry (including growers registration, taxation and licensing) and establishes the Food Crops Regulatory Authority.(24)

Coffee Bill 2020: This Bill regulates licensing and growers registration, and establishes production, processing, trading and marketing related regulations. It also establishes a Coffee Board, a Coffee Council and the Coffee Research Institute.(25)

Nuts and Oil Crops Bill 2020: This Bill regulates licensing and growers registration, and establishes production, processing, trading and marketing related regulations. It also establishes the Nuts and Oil Crops Board, and the Nuts and Oil Crops Council.(26)

Horticultural Crops Authority Bill 2020: This Bill regulates licensing and growers registration, and establishes production, processing, marketing and promotion related regulations. It also establishes the Horticultural Crops Authority.(27)

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

Fresh Green Growers (K) Limited, Kenya Green Harvesters, Food Industries Ltd, Avenue Fresh EPZ Ltd, Kazam Fresh (Amin & Aziz Partners Ltd), Kevian, Sunny Processors Limited, Azuri Health, Best Tropical Fruits, All Fruits, Milly Fruits, American Garden Products Inc, Aryuv Agencies Ltd, Exotic Foods Co Ltd, Njoro Canning Factory Ltd, Rhodes Food Group

Multilaterals

World Bank, Government of Sweden, Global Agriculture and Food Security Program

Non-Profit

Fresh Produce Exporters Association of Kenya (FPEAK), Kenya Plant Health Inspectorate Service (KEPHIS), National Horticultural Research Centre in Thika District, Horticultural Crops Development Authority (HCDA), Agricultural Finance Corporation, The Rockefeller Foundation

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Kenya: Coast

The largest mango producers are located in the Coast (68%), Eastern provinces (18%) and Nyanza (5%).(28) The Eastern region is Kenya's leading mango production region, particularly the Mekueni, Kitui and Machakos counties.(29) In terms of coconut production, areas with the largest numbers of coconut trees are in the counties of Kwale and Kilifi. However, Tana River, Mombasa, Lamu, Busia and Homa Bay along Lake Victoria and Tharaka Nithi county also have potential for further production.(31)
rural

Kenya: Eastern

The largest mango producers are located in the Coast (68%), Eastern provinces (18%) and Nyanza (5%).(28) The Eastern region is Kenya's leading mango production region, particularly the Mekueni, Kitui and Machakos counties.(29)
rural

Kenya: Nyanza

The largest mango producers are located in the Coast (68%), Eastern provinces (18%) and Nyanza (5%).(28) The Eastern region is Kenya's leading mango production region, particularly the Mekueni, Kitui and Machakos counties.(29)
rural

Kenya: Western

In terms of coconut production, areas with the largest numbers of coconut trees are in the counties of Kwale and Kilifi. However, Tana River, Mombasa, Lamu, Busia and Homa Bay along Lake Victoria and Tharaka Nithi county also have potential for further production.(31)

References

See what sources were used to establish the investment opportunity’s data and find resources that could be consulted to explore more.
    • (1) World Bank (2020). Kenya Economic Update: Turbulent Times for Growth in Kenya.
    • (2) World Bank database, 2020. https://data.worldbank.org/
    • (3) ISIC Classification Revision. Comparative Industry Forecast Tables - Agriculture.
    • (4) World Bank (2019). Unbundling the Slack in Private Sector Investment: Transforming Agriculture Sector Productivity and Linkages to Poverty Reduction. April 2019 | Edition No. 19.
    • (5) Sachs, J., Schmidt-Traub, G., Kroll, C., Lafortune, G., Fuller, G., Woelm, F. (2020). The Sustainable Development Goals and COVID-19. Sustainable Development Report 2020. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
    • (6) Ministry of Agriculture (2019). Agricultural Sector Transformation and Growth Strategy: Towards Sustainable Agricultural Transformation and Food Security in Kenya 2019-2029.
    • (7) Government of Kenya. National Agriculture Investment Plan (NAIP) 2019-2024. http://extwprlegs1.fao.org/docs/pdf/ken189052.pdf
    • (8) World Bank (2020). Kenya Economic Update: Turbulent Times for Growth in Kenya,
    • (9) Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Agriculture Policies Database for Kenya.